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Israel at 60 Wednesday May 7, 2008
Tonight we celebrate Israel’s 60th birthday, Yom
Haatzmaut. And there certainly is a lot to celebrate. Israel today is
stronger and better positioned than it ever has been – security-wise,
culturally, and certainly economically.
Focusing on the latter – Israel’s stock market has been one
of the world’s best performing markets of this decade, up double-digit percent
in each of the last five calendar years. One shekel invested in the TASE 25
index on January 1, 2003 would be worth 3.25 shekels today. Israel’s “new” tech
economy keeps growing and growing, attracting each year more and more of the
world’s leading VCs and global tech companies (Microsoft didn’t close on Yahoo,
but it has closed on two acquisitions of Israeli tech companies so far this
year – topped only by IBM’s three acquisitions in just the first four months of
2008 totaling more than $500 million).
Israel is on its way to OECD membership,
with a strong currency, low inflation, healthy growth rates, falling debt,
rising credit ratings (now A1/A after recent upgrades by Moody's
and S&P),
and an educated and motivated workforce. When we arrived in Israel just a month after Israel’s 50th
birthday, per-capita income was about $16,000 – in developing country territory.
It is now above $30,000, placing Israel among the 30 richest
countries in the world.
The Mishna (Ethics of Our Fathers 5:25) teaches us that “At
60, you attain seniority (literally, Zikna)”. There are a few political
commentators out there (as very correctly pointed out by Caroline Glick of the Jerusalem Post yesterday) who have apparently misinterpreted Zikna
as Zaken, or old age, feeling that Israel is on some sort of economic
or demographic downslope. I highly doubt that any of those commentators have
spent much time in Israel
lately, have any Israel
business interests, or have seriously vetted the (incorrect) data on which
their assumptions are made, as Ms. Glick points out.
Certainly there remain challenges and a lot of work to do –
in the security realm there always will be, as some of our wonderful neighbors
remain focused on destroying what we have rather than building what they could
have. (In my view, peace will indeed come to our region if and when that fact
ceases to be correct). And economically, while Israel has established a
wonderful and diversified economic base in just 60 short years, there remain
serious issues of economic and geographic inequality, religious divide, infrastructure,
and environment (among others) to deal with. But we’re now dealing with them
from a position of strength. And like most mature and successful countries, our
main problems and issues are increasingly internal ones. The proper use of our Zikna,
or intellectual maturity, at this stage of Israel’s development will determine
our direction in the next decade, and beyond.In the next decade – as we say in the business –
go “long” Israel!
I don’t think you’ll be disappointed.
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